There’s strong and growing evidence that the “next” US recession has begun - or will begin soon. Historically, the longer and deeper has been the initial inversion, the longer and deeper has been the ...

Ahead of many recessions in US economic history, the yield curve has gone negative - or "inverted." Now that it appears growth could pick back up at the same time the Fed could start cutting rates, we ...

BENGALURU, March 12 (Reuters) - A key indicator of an oncoming recession implied by the U.S. bond market is no longer reliable, according to nearly two-thirds of strategists polled by Reuters. A ...

In macroeconomics, the yield curve is used to forecast the probability of a recession. When the curve becomes inverted, it means that short-term yields are higher than long-term yields which, up until ...

After more than two years in negative territory, the spread between the 2-year Treasury yield and 10-year Treasury yield has finally un-inverted. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note stood at 3.676% ...

ORLANDO, Florida, June 4 (Reuters) - Of all the economic rules of thumb the COVID-19 pandemic seemingly ripped up, few have caused as much soul-searching as the inverted U.S. yield curve - though it ...

Nearly two-thirds of strategists polled by Reuters say an inverted yield curve has diminished as a reliable recession indicator. The yield curve has been inverted for 20 months without a recession ...

Greg Obenshain, partner and director of credit at Verdad, said equity investors tend to go on high alert after an inverted yield morphs into a steepening yield curve, since it tends to coincide with ...

The yield curve disinverted this week, suggesting an economic recession may be near. Historically, yield curve disinversions have preceded every economic recession since 1976. Investors are reacting ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...