Last week, the yield curve inverted for the first time since 2007. The yield for 10-year Treasuries fell below the yield for the 3-month T-Bill. The inversion set off alarm bells and US stocks fell ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

The yield curve’s inversion and imminent un-inversion signal a high probability of a recession, likely beginning within months. Historical analysis shows the depth and duration of the current ...

The 3-Month Treasury Bill’s rate of 5.50% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of June 2023. It was 0% at the beginning of last year. The 3-month rate is currently higher than the 3-year by ...

Many are concerned that a deeply inverted yield curve signals a recession. When we look at the current yield curve, we see an opportunity to add exposure to fixed income. The most direct implication ...

The natural slope of the yield curve is positive, meaning short-term interest rates are lower than long-term interest rates. There are periods where the curve inverts and, most importantly, a ...

NEW YORK, July 3 (Reuters) - Expectations of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve to tame stubbornly high inflation helped push a closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve to its ...